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New-zealandAnalytics
Among other things, national team matches are also distinguished by a wide range of opponents. That is, a statistically average..
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Today our attention is turned to Brazilian Serie A and the match between the champion of 2016 season SE Palmeiras and newcomers in Serie A - AC Goianiense.
In 2017 season Palmeiras has big problems – 4 losses and 1 draw in 8 matches. So, as Palmeiras is in this match in the role of the favorite and needs a win the team should dictate game scenario.
To understand the match scenario, let's look at home matches of Palmeiras with teams that are similar to Goianense (also look at Palmeiras cups matches, as a matches with weak soccer team):
In this similar matches Palmeiras has 4 win and 1 draw.
For the analogies let’s look at the corners:
4 of 5 this similar matches ended with total corners 10 or less.
As a result, Palmeiras in the matches with weak teams had the next tactic: the result of the match is decided and Palmeiras win – in the end of match will be more corners, the result of the match is unknown – in the end of match will be less corners:
Match |
Goals |
Corners |
|
1 half |
1 half |
2 half |
|
SE Palmeiras- Penarol |
1:1 |
4 |
2 |
SE Palmeiras - Botafogo João P |
0:0 |
3 |
5 |
SE Palmeiras - América Minas G |
2:0 the fate of the match is decided |
3 |
7 |
SE Palmeiras - CA River Plate |
2:0 the fate of the match is decided |
4 |
7 |
SE Palmeiras -Agremiaçao |
0:0 |
3 |
6 |
Short stats:
• 16 of 19 Palmeiras home matches of 2016-2017 seasons ended with a total corners 10 or less;
• 5 of 13 Atletico Goianiense matches in 2016-2017 seasons ended with total corners 10 or less;
• 4 out of 5 Palmeiras home matches with teams similar to Atletico Goianiense in 2015-2017 seasons ended with total corners 10 or less;
• 1 out of 1 away matches of Atletico Goianiense with teams similar to Palmeiras in 2015-2017 seasons ended with total corners 10 or less.
The team of the site corner-stats.com considers that Atletico Goianiense will give the battle and corners number in the match will be small and the bet on Asian total corners under 10 at 1.83 odds at Bet365 will have profit.